Million Dollar Question: How Many Seats Will AAP get?


Arvind Kejriwal’s Aam Aadmi Party is giving a headache to not only Congress and BJP in Delhi; it is also becoming a pain for poll pundits (including Political Baba). How many seats will they get? Right from forming govt. (claimed by AAP) to kingmaker to flop show, they have got all tags. Good for them, in this exercise they are getting all media attention. The BJP was in disarray with no declared CM candidate, state President Vijay Goel who seemed to be the front runner didn’t have a good image. Kejriwal took advantage of the situation, raked up corruption and ill governance of Shiela and captured the main opposition space to get anti incumbency cotes.  So much so that it seemed to be a Congress vs AAP contest.

Two events changed this game plan – (i) massive NaMo rally in Delhi which rejuvenated and united BJP cadre and (ii) announcement of Harshvardhan as CM candidate. These events have brought BJP back into action. Some media houses predict a hung house while India Today and Political Baba predict BJP victory. Who will it impact more and the opinion is divided here as well. Some say BJP, some Congress, some say both. I personally know a lot of people who will vote for BJP in national elections but are voting for AAP in state polls. Interesting, nail biting finish on the cards. Test of all poll pundits including Political Baba.

 

 

ABP – Nielsen

Hindustan Times

Political Baba

CNN IBN

India Today

Times Now

 

Oct.13

Sep. 13

Oct. 13

Nov. 13

Nov. 13

Nov. 13

BJP

28

22-27

35

22-28

36

25

Congress

22

32-27

25

19-25

22

24

AAP

18

7 to 12

10

19-25

8

18

Others

2

0-2

0

 0

4

3

 

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