As per an average of exit polls conducted by 5 agencies for news channels (C-Voter, CSDS, Today’s Chanakya, Nielsen & ORG) BJP is set to retain Madhya Pradesh and Chhatisgarh while it is expected to snatch Rajasthan and Delhi from Congress. This makes it 4-0 for BJP and is in line with pre-poll projections carried out by Politicalbaaba in Aug.-Sep. period.

Aam Aadmi Party is expected to put up a spirited fight in Delhi and get same no. of seats as Congress. Today’s Chanayaka infact expects it to emerge as single largest party and get 31 seats. If averages are correct then instead of BJP, AAP is actually cutting into votes of Congress.

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MP and Chhatisargh are expected to be retained on account of development by Shivraj S. Chouhan and Raman Singh while Rajasthan is seen following the trend where every five years govt. is changed there. BJP will claim it as a victory for Modi. Whether this is true or not will be covered in a subsequent post.

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What it clearly means is start of the end of road for Congress. These 4 states account for 72 Lok Sabha seats and Congress has won 40 seats last time (>50%).

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Rajasthan       Delhi    
  Avg. of Exit Polls Politicalbaaba     Avg. of Exit Polls Politicalbaaba
BJP 125 150   BJP 34 35
Congress 55 40   Congress 17 25
Others 20 10   AAP 17 10
             
Madhya Pradesh       Chhattisgarh    
  Avg. of Exit Polls Politicalbaaba     Avg. of Exit Polls Politicalbaaba
BJP 141 130   BJP 52 55
Congress 77 90   Congress 35 35
Others 12 10   Others 3 0
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