Strong anti-incumbency (corruption, price rise, unemployment, economic slowdown), weak leadership (Rahul no match for Modi) allies rocking boat (Mamata, Karunanidhi) and delays in finalizing alliance partners (Bihar / UP) will hit Congress hard in upcoming Lok Sabha elections. The party will be lucky to get even 100 seats. Alliance finalization in Bihar and wooing DMK back would not alter the equation much with at the max addition of 15-20 seats to its tally.

If we take a look at the results of last elections were UPA got 225 seats, 140 seats (62%) came from eight states – Andhra, Haryana, Gujarat, Rajasthan, UP, Maharashtra, Madhya Pradesh and Delhi.

1) Andhra Pradesh: Party got 33 seats last time riding on YSR wave. The party’s fortunes in doldrums here this time (only 5 expected). Party weakened by YSR’s son’s Jagan Reddy’s exit. They wanted to counter this by announcing creation of Telangana. This…

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