Kejriwal resigns, Delhi & its people lose


#AAP’s govt. in #Delhi has fallen. It lasted for 48 days. Its ironical that on Valentine’s Day, it’s partner (Congress) served a divorce notice. People had a lot of expectations from this govt. Obstacles were expected to come its way, but instead of facing them it buckled under pressure and ran away from the race.

Background

Party made a fantastic debut in Delhi state assembly elections finishing 2nd behind BJP. BJP won 32 and AAP won 28 seats. Kejriwal defeated 3 time Chief Minister Shiela Dixit by a handsome margin. Congress was reduced to 8 seats. BJP declined to form govt. as it didn’t have the numbers. Kejriwal perhaps got greedy and desire to become CM overpowered him. AAP which fought the elections opposing Congress tooth and nail ran a sms / online campaign asking people whether it should form govt. or not. Finally it formed govt. with outside support of Congress. BJP accused AAP of striking a deal with Congress. Congress happily obliged because it made the assembly elections scoreline 3 (BJP) – 1 (Congress). This was the first mistake committed by AAP I feel, they compromised on the basic principle of its existence and formation.

Government’s actions controversial from day one

The party’s decisions were very controversial. Right from audit of discoms, free water (with T&C), 50% reduction in power bills (with T&C), 50% waiver for power bill defaulters, Somnath Bharti episode, dharna for police officers removal, Binny revolt, Bhushan’s remarks on Kashmir referendum, FIR on Ambani & Oil Minister, list goes on and on and on……….

In a lot of these decisions party’s & Kejriwal’s anarchic egoistic ways came to light. The nail in the coffin was Kejriwal’s insistence of placing Jan Lokpal Bill in Delhi assembly and getting it passed. Lt. Governor had not given permission to present the bill. BJP and Congress (its ally) voted against the bill saying it was unconstitutional. Kejri took it as an insult and resigned. Would have been better if he had fought his way to get the bill cleared. Of course the provisions of his bill are superior to the Parliament approved Lokpal Bill. But he decided to hang his boots. Perhaps to take mileage. There was no compulsion to resign. He had not lost a vote of confidence.

People had lots of hopes from this man and his party. All lost / gone! Even though I was never a great fan of AAP, had hoped that they would do something good and deserved a chance.

Govt. was formed because public wanted it to to so (they claimed thru sms campaigns). Am amazed as to why no sms campaign was carried out to decide whether he should resign, leaving the people who wanted it to form govt. in the lurch. What was the hurry? At least this much courtesy was expected from him.

And what about the people who were waived 50% of their overdue power bills? What will they do now? Kejri will perhaps tell them to continue not paying. He will set it right when he comes to power.

Why did Kejriwal resign?

(i) Lok Sabha focus: AAP has announced it would contest 350-400 seats in Lok Sabha. Kejriwal is the only prominent mass leader in the party. To do well and leave its mark, they need him to run a high voltage campaign in Lok Sabha. He would not be able to give attention to Delhi if he did so and would be criticized.  Hence decided time to go!

(ii) Controversies were impacting AAP’s image: Each day AAP had to face a new controversy, negative publicity. Power comes with thorns. Excuses were not working. This was impacting its poll prospects, surveys showing it would get <10 seats in Lok Sabha.  Eveb in govt. they behaved like opposition. They adopt attack, allege and run policy. If they are not in govt. these things are easier.

(iii) Gain sympathy: AAP feels it would gain sympathy not only in Delhi but all over India. It will run a high pitch campaign against corrupt BJP / Congress and how they ganged up to prevent Jan Lokpal Bill from being adopted. This would not only get them Delhi state (whenever re-elections are held) but also get sizeable seats in Lok Sabha. Their aim is to become the 3rd largest party after BJP & Congress and pray for a Delhi like situation. Then Kejri baba is PM with Congress support. Day dreaming but can’t stop them.

(iv) Couldn’t deliver on their promise of Jan Lokpal Bill – Taking High Moral Ground: No problem. They should have kept trying. Were people of Delhi asking him to deliver immediately. He should have tried to forge consensus. He threw in the towel very soon.

(v) Couldn’t handle pressure: Governance comes with responsibility. This party wants power, no accountability / responsibility. They were behaving like opposition even when they were in power.

(vi) Nothing to lose & confident of sweeping Delhi whenever re-elections happen: AAP & Kejri are confident of forming govt. in Delhi (thumping majority) as they have done good work – free water / electricity / less corruption. This way they have nothing to lose. He is taking a punt. He may not return to power as people have realized he is more of a nuisance.

What will happen in Delhi now? Possibilities:

(i) BJP could form govt. – BJP has 32 MLAs (including Akali Dal MLA). AAP has 27 (excluding suspended Binny), Congress 8, 2 independent (Binny & Shokeen) and 1 JDU MLA. Even if the two independent MLAs support BJP it can’t form govt. JDU MLA won’t support BJP (plus he is a Muslim). Congress won’t split, here again it has 5 minority community MLAs. So govt. formation difficult. BJP won’t try to split AAP will hamper image and give sympathy to AAP.  Yehi karna tha to pehle karna tha.

(ii) President’s Rule & Re-elections: Delhi will have to go under President’s rule for some months. Re-elections could happen together with Lok Sabha. In that case national and local issues will get mixed and BJP should sail through and get a workable majority. If state elections happen post Lok Sabha polls, then depending upon how BJP performs in Lok Sabha, it may or may not win. If Third Front govt. at Center and then polls in Delhi, AAP will win.

A sad ending! People had loads of expectations. Party did show innovative governance ways. But sadly ego and ambitions of Kejri played spoil sport. Ultimately, its loss for people of Delhi. As Chetan Bhagat put it, we need honest people, but we also need capable, experienced people. Honesty is not the only criteria! The ball is again in people’s court. Yeh public hai yeh sab jaanti hai!

Poll

Related posts

https://politicalbaaba.wordpress.com/2013/12/23/why-is-kejriwal-ready-to-bite-the-bullet-form-govt-in-delhi-2/

https://politicalbaaba.wordpress.com/2013/12/28/historic-day-today-aam-aadmi-becomes-cm-of-delhi/

https://politicalbaaba.wordpress.com/2014/01/14/2014-lok-sabha-projections-how-many-seats-will-aaam-aaadmi-party-win/

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23 thoughts on “Kejriwal resigns, Delhi & its people lose

  1. A premeditated decision of Kejriwal. Kejriwal is eyeing LS polls. Delhi is free now and most probably on President’s Rule. I feel Kejriwal may get a support of Anna Hazare during election campaign and thus can influence AAP’s poll results a bit positively. Thank you.

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      1. I know Anna Mamta is supporting Anna and will lend his hand to Kejri Babu as well but that doesn’t mean Fourth front is a possibility. All I said was Kejri is in Dire Straits and will approach for help in order to keep afloat his political ambitions. However, whatever he has done is a damn good confirmation of a Hung Parliament.

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      2. I know Anna is supporting Mamta and will lend his hand to Kejri Babu as well but that doesn’t mean Fourth front is a possibility. All I said was Kejri is in Dire Straits and will approach for help in order to keep afloat his political ambitions. However, whatever he has done is a damn good confirmation of a Hung Parliament.

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  2. Kejriwal is and shall remain a street agitationist.He is not a preformer.A shameless creature,a lunatic,one amongst many jokers in his parties.

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      1. The BJP could play a political masterstroke at this point, by forming a minority government under Harsh Vardhan, using the 10-15 days it has before it’s voted out to pass a constitutional, realistic Jan Lokpal bill and force Kejriwal to either support it or expose his political hypocrisy by voting against it, then face the Lok Sabha and Assembly elections as martyrs for the anti-corruption cause. Modi would get a boost nationwide if he publicly supported such a move, and Kejriwal would find himself thwarted in his bid to be the nation’s sole custodian of honesty. AAP seems to be afraid of something like that happening, given its vehement opposition to the Lt. Governor’s decision not to immediately dissolve the Assembly. But somehow, I doubt the BJP has the imagination to take such a gamble.

        http://desipoliticaljunkie.wordpress.com

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      2. You are assuming that BJP supports the provisions of Jan Lok Pal. If that was the case they should have asked for these amendments in Lok Sabha when it was tabled. BJP is also a political party and though it is crying aloud that it supports Jan Lok Pal, it may not be true. Govts. in India in a coalition era would like to have control over investigating agency. That is what gets them allies and allows them to settle scores.

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  3. lol it’s not possible- bjp first refused to form gov- aap playing with fire now , their support now delhi is lower class ppl , they think they can manage them saying cong/bjp betrayed us. educated ppl will understand after few days in delhi and all over india- it can bumerang badly , and aap can loose even all 7 seats coz of their greediness , they challenge delhi ppl intelligence let c- in wb frm my state they will not 100 votes in each seats.

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    1. There’s no reason why it’s not possible … the only reason the Assembly is not being dissolved is to keep the option of an alternative government alive. The BJP can say that the situation has changed and since AAP was given a chance, and failed, they would now like to spare Delhi another election and will to try to form a government. No one can credibly accuse them of being power-hungry if they use that argument, after all, there is no alternative to them right now. Their government will of course fall, but if they can pass Jan Lokpal and take a couple of other responsible, mature decisions that show that they mean business, the sympathy factor will switch to a large extent to them, leaving Kejriwal gnashing his teeth as his whole plan comes undone. I can’t see a downside for the BJP from this. But it’s been a long time since they showed that kind of political acumen. If AAP has it’s way and the Assembly is dissolved now, they will sweep the Lok Sabha and Assembly polls.

      http://desipoliticaljunkie.wordpress.com

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      1. Assembly is under animated suspension means that there is still scope for govt. formation I agree. But how will BJP pass Jan Lok Pal. They have voted against it saying it is unconstitutional. So how can they present an unconstitutional bill and force Kejri to support. They will be exposed. It all depends on when elections take place. If together with L. Sabha BJP would win. If after Lok Sabha and assuming BJP forms govt. as center, BJP would again win.

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      1. The BJP did not say it does not support the Jan Lokpal bill, nor that the bill itself was unconstitutional. They (as well as the Congress) merely said that since the Lt. Governor felt that constitutionally the bill needed his prior approval and clearance from the Center, they would prefer these things be done first. There is some controversy about this, but it’s the basis on which the two national parties opposed the bill’s introduction. For AAP to say that Congress and BJP oppose Jan Lokpal is disingenuous. Now, if BJP they forms the government, it could attempt to introduce and pass Jan Lokpal bill the “right way’, thereby taking the winds out of Kejriwal’s sails. AAP could not oppose this bill without revealing that its own stand was purely political rather than ideological. This could easily be accomplished before the government is voted out by AAP and Congress joining hands once again. If Delhi goes to the polls under the circumstances we’re seeing today, AAP will sweep any elections, Assembly, Lok Sabha or local bodies, and will likely have a domino effect in Haryana, Punjab and parts of Western UP. Kejriwal’s move, though blatantly opportunistic, was brilliant.

        http://desipoliticaljunkie.wordpress.com

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  4. in wb bjp voteshare will be higher than cong but becoz of cong very strong in some parts of northbengal they will win 2-3 seats with 10-12 vote share. bjp share will be 13-15 , will win 1 seat from south bengal- krishnanagar.

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