Voting for 89 seats finished today (30th April) in Phase VII of Lok Sabha polls. This is an important phase of polling accounting for 16% of Lok Sabha strength. 9 states / union territories went to polls – Gujarat (26), Uttar Pradesh (14), Bihar (7), J&K (1),West Bengal (9), Punjab (13), Daman & Diu (1), Dadra & Nagar Haveli (1) and Telangana (17).
2009 Election Results
The seat wise position in the last elections was as follows:
|State / UT||Seats||NDA||UPA||Left||SP||BSP||TMC||TRS||TDP||JDU||Others|
|Dadra & Nagar Haveli||1||1|
|Daman & Diu||1||1|
NDA won 26 seats and UPA 38 seats in 2009. NDA was runner up in 25 seats and in 8 of these seats it lost by <3% margin. These are the seats which it will be eyeing this time around.The 2009 elections to these 89 seats were a very close finish: <1% victory margin (10 seats), 1-2% (6), 2-3% (5). 21 / 89 seats were decided on a victory margin of <3%.
Voting in Phase V
The voting % has been strong this time, 66.2% vs 57.6% in 2009. W. Bengal (81.35%), Gujarat (62% vs 48% in 2009), Bihar (60%), Punjab (73%), Telangana (>70%), UP (59%), J&K (25%). Gujarat voted for its asmita as the state is home to Modi BJP’s PM candidate.
Of these 89 seats, NDA is expected to win approximately half. UPA had done very well in Telangana, Gujarat, UP and Punjab in 2009. In all these states its position is weak this time around. NDA expected to improve its position in Hindi belt of UP and Bihar, Gujarat, Punjab and Telangana.