All India Lok Sabha Elections Phase I – VII Seat by Seat Predictions: NDA Ahead


Interesting Analysis!

Politicalbaaba

Background

Elections from Phase I to Phase VII have been completed. 438 seats (81% of Lok Sabha strength) have gone to polls. Politicalbaaba undertakes a never attempted before in Indian history of polls coverage, a seat by seat predictions, based on on-ground information from its sources. A margin of error of 5-10% is possible.

2009 Results

UPA was ahead with 189 seats with NDA second at 125 seats in 2009. UPA did well in Rajasthan, Kerala, Maharashtra, Uttar Pradesh, Telangana and Haryana while NDA did well in Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Gujarat and Karnataka.

2014 Elections

1. Bihar (27 seats): Bihar is witnessing complete polarization of MY votes for Lalu and Congress (UPA). The state has always voted on caste based factors but MY is voting en-block this time for Lalu. MY sees Nitish not competent enough to fight Modi and hence voting for Lalu. There is a Modi wave but…

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