Who will win Bihar? Part V (Final)
In the concluding part of the series, I would attempt to project the number of seats each alliance is expected to win and who would be able to form the government in Bihar.
A recap of the four part series so far:
Part I – prediction of winner based on Lok Sabha trends and bye-polls held thereafter
Part II – prediction of winner based on historical co-relation between Lok Sabha and state polls
Part III – prediction of winner based on caste representation of MLAs in the assembly
Part IV – prediction of winner based on expected vote share in 2015
Opinion polls predict a close contest and different winners. The common theme is that vote share of both the alliances – NDA and Janata – is expected to be in the range of 40%-45%.
I don’t have the…
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