State / UT | Seats | UPA | NDA | Others | SP | BSP | JDU | Left | BJD | AIADMK | YSR | TDP | AAP | TRS | TMC |
Arunachal Pradesh | 2 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||
Assam | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | |||||||||||
Bihar | 40 | 12 | 20 | 0 | 8 | ||||||||||
Jharkhand | 14 | 3 | 9 | 2 | |||||||||||
Goa | 2 | 0 | 2 | ||||||||||||
Gujarat | 26 | 5 | 21 | ||||||||||||
Haryana | 10 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | ||||||||||
Himachal Pradesh | 4 | 1 | 3 | ||||||||||||
Jammu & Kashmir | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | |||||||||||
Karnataka | 28 | 11 | 14 | 2 | 1 | ||||||||||
Kerala | 20 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13 | ||||||||||
Madhya Pradesh | 29 | 6 | 23 | ||||||||||||
Chattisgarh | 11 | 3 | 8 | ||||||||||||
Maharashtra | 48 | 14 | 28 | 4 | 2 | ||||||||||
Manipur | 2 | 2 | 0 | ||||||||||||
Meghalaya | 2 | 2 | 0 | ||||||||||||
Mizoram | 1 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||
Nagaland | 1 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||
Orissa | 21 | 3 | 2 | 16 | |||||||||||
Punjab | 13 | 6 | 7 | ||||||||||||
Rajasthan | 25 | 5 | 20 | ||||||||||||
Sikkim | 1 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||
Seemandhra | 25 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | |||||||||
Tamil Nadu | 39 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 25 | ||||||||||
Telangana | 17 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 8 | ||||||||||
Tripura | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |||||||||||
UP | 80 | 9 | 38 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 1 | ||||||||
Uttarakhand | 5 | 1 | 4 | ||||||||||||
West Bengal | 42 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 25 | ||||||||||
Andaman | 1 | 0 | 1 | ||||||||||||
Daman & Diu | 1 | 0 | 1 | ||||||||||||
Dadra&Nagar | 1 | 0 | 1 | ||||||||||||
Delhi | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | |||||||||||
Pondicherry | 1 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||
Lakshadweep | 1 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||
Chandigarh | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |||||||||||
Total | 543 | 112 | 230 | 24 | 12 | 18 | 8 | 30 | 16 | 25 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 25 |
In 2009 | 543 | 225 | 131 | 50 | 22 | 21 | 22 | 22 | 14 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 19 |
UPA = Congress + NCP + JMM + RLD + NC + RJD
NDA = BJP + Shiv Sena + Akali Dal + LJP + MDMK + DMDK + PMK
BJP ko bahut one sided de diye ho dost…205 ka ummeed kam hai.
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@Mihir thanks. The projections were made before announcement of NaMo as PM candidate. However, I factored in the same as it was almost a certainty. There is a 5-10% margin of error. However, we could discuss further if you point out specific states where you feel BJP wont get the seats projected.
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In Punjab akalis r are lossing. After Capt. Amrinder Singh has come forward, the position has become vis-a-vis.
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Punjab is interesting and situation could be bad for BJP. I agree. Modi wave could negate some of this. In Punjab, NDA facing anti incumbency because of 2nd term of Akalis.
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AAP is not even in your list of political parties …why??? With AAP confirming they will run in LokSabha elections, how do you think the situation would change?
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Thanks Arati. The projections were made sometime in Sep. and needs updation to take into account AAP effect. Will be done sometime in Jan. next year. While AAP has done well in Delhi, this will not translate the same way in Lok Sabha. They might get 5-10 seats mostly metros.
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SP & BSP improving seat?? Looks highly unlikely in the current people’s mood…That in effect would be a big bump up for NDA/Modi
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Fair point. Projections a bit old carried out in Sep. However, UP is a difficult state. 4 cornered contest makes it even difficult to predict. UP is caste based politics. While NaMo wave will better their position from 10 to 25 further improvement needs more work.
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Nice analysis. You have a natural flair for this activity
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Thanks Rajeev.
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seriously feel we gonna see UPA3 at the center …. remember this I was the first one to predict
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Thanks Human. You can see UPA 3 (UPA + Left Front + Others). Possibility low. But it will be disastrous for the country.
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bjp lead nda will easily cross 250 mark…because tdp is also join nda very soon…
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Thanks Mann. TDP-BJP negotiations stuck on seat distribution. TDP opposed creation of Telangana but wasn’t major chunk of seats there. Strange! Will add another 10. So 230 + 10 = 240.
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pondicherry N.R Congress will win
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Thanks Babu. Its part of NDA.
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