NDA Seats Comparison vs Projections

State / UT Total Seats Pre Poll Post Poll Actual Comments
Andaman 1 1 1 1 Bang On
Arunachal 2 1 1 1 Bang On
Assam 14 4 5 7 Significant polarisation here plus resentment against outsiders.
Bihar 40 20 20 31 Local sources over estimated MY polarisation towards RJD.
Chhatisgarh 11 8 8 10 No sympathy wave for Congress despite Naxal attack on its leaders.
Chandigarh 1 0 0 1 AAP did more damage to Congress than estimated.
Delhi 7 3 5 7 AAP flip flop cost it dearly.
Goa 2 2 2 2 Bang On
Haryana 10 6 7 7 Bang On
J&K 6 1 1 3 Huge unanticipated anger against Abdullahs.
Jharkhand 14 9 10 12 Slightly better than anticipated.
Karnataka 28 14 12 17 State reversed trend and voted for party expected to win at center.
Kerala 20 1 1 0 Shashi Tharoor was on weak wicket but sneaked in.
Lakshadweep 1 0 0 0 Bang On
Madhya Pradesh 29 23 23 27 Slightly better than anticipated.
Maharashtra 48 28 30 42 Much better than anticipated by local sources. We overestimated MNS.
Manipur 2 0 0 0 Bang On
Meghalaya 2 0 1 1 Bang On
Mizoram 1 0 0 0 Bang On
Nagaland 1 0 1 1 Bang On
Odisha 21 2 8 1 Local sources went horribly wrong. Biggest shock for me in this election.
Rajasthan 25 20 23 25 Slightly better than anticipated.
Sikkim 1 0 0 0 Bang On
Tripura 2 0 0 0 Bang On
Uttar Pradesh 80 38 42 73 Muslims Dalits contributed to BJP win.
Tamil Nadu 39 8 8 2 Local sources under estimated Amma’s strength.
Puducherry 1 0 1 1 Bang On
Telangana 17 3 2 2 Bang On
Punjab 13 7 6 6 Bang On
Gujarat 26 21 22 26 State was Modi-fied.
W. Bengal 42 1 1 2 Slightly better than anticipated.
Daman & Diu 1 1 1 1 Bang On
Seemandhra 25 10 14 17 Slightly better than anticipated.
Dadra & Nagar Haveli 1 1 1 1 Bang On
Himachal Pradesh 4 3 4 4 Bang On
Uttarakhand 5 4 5 5 Bang On
Total 543 240 266 336

One thought on “NDA Seats Comparison vs Projections

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s