| State / UT |
Total Seats |
Pre Poll |
Post Poll |
Actual |
Comments |
| Andaman |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Bang On |
| Arunachal |
2 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Bang On |
| Assam |
14 |
4 |
5 |
7 |
Significant polarisation here plus resentment against outsiders. |
| Bihar |
40 |
20 |
20 |
31 |
Local sources over estimated MY polarisation towards RJD. |
| Chhatisgarh |
11 |
8 |
8 |
10 |
No sympathy wave for Congress despite Naxal attack on its leaders. |
| Chandigarh |
1 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
AAP did more damage to Congress than estimated. |
| Delhi |
7 |
3 |
5 |
7 |
AAP flip flop cost it dearly. |
| Goa |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
Bang On |
| Haryana |
10 |
6 |
7 |
7 |
Bang On |
| J&K |
6 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
Huge unanticipated anger against Abdullahs. |
| Jharkhand |
14 |
9 |
10 |
12 |
Slightly better than anticipated. |
| Karnataka |
28 |
14 |
12 |
17 |
State reversed trend and voted for party expected to win at center. |
| Kerala |
20 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
Shashi Tharoor was on weak wicket but sneaked in. |
| Lakshadweep |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Bang On |
| Madhya Pradesh |
29 |
23 |
23 |
27 |
Slightly better than anticipated. |
| Maharashtra |
48 |
28 |
30 |
42 |
Much better than anticipated by local sources. We overestimated MNS. |
| Manipur |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Bang On |
| Meghalaya |
2 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
Bang On |
| Mizoram |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Bang On |
| Nagaland |
1 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
Bang On |
| Odisha |
21 |
2 |
8 |
1 |
Local sources went horribly wrong. Biggest shock for me in this election. |
| Rajasthan |
25 |
20 |
23 |
25 |
Slightly better than anticipated. |
| Sikkim |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Bang On |
| Tripura |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Bang On |
| Uttar Pradesh |
80 |
38 |
42 |
73 |
Muslims Dalits contributed to BJP win. |
| Tamil Nadu |
39 |
8 |
8 |
2 |
Local sources under estimated Amma’s strength. |
| Puducherry |
1 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
Bang On |
| Telangana |
17 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
Bang On |
| Punjab |
13 |
7 |
6 |
6 |
Bang On |
| Gujarat |
26 |
21 |
22 |
26 |
State was Modi-fied. |
| W. Bengal |
42 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
Slightly better than anticipated. |
| Daman & Diu |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Bang On |
| Seemandhra |
25 |
10 |
14 |
17 |
Slightly better than anticipated. |
| Dadra & Nagar Haveli |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Bang On |
| Himachal Pradesh |
4 |
3 |
4 |
4 |
Bang On |
| Uttarakhand |
5 |
4 |
5 |
5 |
Bang On |
| Total |
543 |
240 |
266 |
336 |
|
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