BIHAR ELECTIONS

Bihar was a cracker of an elections where Lalu-Nitish jodi recorded a stupendous victory.

Politicalbaaba covered the elections in detail with extensive coverage of the polls, unique research, pre-poll projections, phase wise overview, exit poll analysis and post poll verdict analysis.

During this 4 month journey many of PB’s articles were published in prestigious news websites like Hindustan Times, DailyO (India Today Group), Swarajyamag and Niticentral.

A big thanks to all for your love, affection, criticism and support.

PRE-POLL ANALYSIS 

1. Bihar Polls – A Curtain-raiser

https://politicalbaaba.wordpress.com/2015/07/29/bihar-polls-a-curtain-raiser/

2. Bihar Polls: SWOT Analysis of Janata Parivaar Alliance

https://politicalbaaba.wordpress.com/2015/08/03/bihar-polls-swot-analysis-of-janata-parivaar-alliance/

3. Is it the end of saga called Lalu?

https://politicalbaaba.wordpress.com/2015/08/09/is-it-the-end-of-saga-called-lalu/

4. Caste is cast in stone in Bihar politics

https://politicalbaaba.wordpress.com/2015/08/11/caste-is-cast-in-stone-in-bihar-politics/

5. Law & Order Situation in Bihar – A Statistical Perspective

https://politicalbaaba.wordpress.com/2015/08/10/law-order-situation-in-bihar-a-statistical-perspective/

6. Decoding the seat sharing between Lalu-Nitish in Bihar

https://politicalbaaba.wordpress.com/2015/08/20/decoding-the-lalu-nitish-seat-sharing-in-bihar/

7. Owaisi to Lalu: Here I come

https://politicalbaaba.wordpress.com/2015/08/22/owaisi-to-lalu-here-i-come/

8. Will Muslims & Mahadalits decide the fate of BIhar polls?

https://politicalbaaba.wordpress.com/2015/08/30/will-muslims-and-mahadalits-decide-the-fate-of-bihar-polls/

9. Seat sharing muddle of NDA in Bihar

https://politicalbaaba.wordpress.com/2015/08/31/seat-sharing-muddle-of-nda-in-bihar/

10. Probable Spoliers in Bihar Elections

https://politicalbaaba.wordpress.com/2015/09/12/potential-spoilers-in-bihar-elections/

11. Opinion Polls add to the suspense in Bihar Polls

https://politicalbaaba.wordpress.com/2015/09/13/opinion-polls-add-to-the-suspense-in-crucial-biharpolls/

12. Poll: Who will win Bihar Assembly elections?

https://politicalbaaba.wordpress.com/2015/09/17/poll-who-will-win-bihar-assembly-elections/

13. Phase-wise Election Schedule of Bihar

https://politicalbaaba.wordpress.com/2015/09/19/bihar-elections-date-phase-wise-constituencies-for-polls/

14. Why NDA is expected to win Bihar?

https://politicalbaaba.wordpress.com/2015/09/21/biharelections-why-nda-is-expected-to-win-bihar/

15. Quiz Contest on Bihar Elections

https://politicalbaaba.wordpress.com/2015/09/20/quiz-contest-biharelections-2015/

16. 2010 Assembly Polls Seat Wise Results with Margins

https://politicalbaaba.wordpress.com/2015/09/23/2010-seat-wise-bihar-results-with-margins/

17. Who will win Bihar? – Part I

https://politicalbaaba.wordpress.com/2015/09/24/biharelections-who-will-win-bihar-part-i/

18. Politicalbaaba Bihar Projections

https://politicalbaaba.wordpress.com/2015/09/23/biharelections-politicalbaaba-bihar-projections/

19. Who will win Bihar? – Part II

https://politicalbaaba.wordpress.com/2015/09/27/biharelections-who-will-win-bihar-part-ii/

20. Who will win Bihar? – Part III

https://politicalbaaba.wordpress.com/2015/10/06/biharelections-who-will-win-bihar-part-iii/

21. Who will win Bihar? – Part IV

https://politicalbaaba.wordpress.com/2015/10/09/biharelections-who-will-win-bihar-part-iv/

22. Who will win Bihar? – Part V (Final)

https://politicalbaaba.wordpress.com/2015/10/10/biharelections-who-will-win-bihar-part-v-final-2/

23. Opinion Poll Summary Table

https://politicalbaaba.wordpress.com/2015/10/11/biharpolls-opinion-poll-summary/

DURING THE POLLS

 

24. Overview of Phase I

https://politicalbaaba.wordpress.com/2015/10/11/biharelections-all-set-for-phase-i-tomorrow/

25. Grand Master Sheet of Phase 1 of Bihar Elections

https://politicalbaaba.wordpress.com/2015/10/09/biharelections-grand-cheat-sheet-phase-i/

26. Post Poll Update Phase 1

https://politicalbaaba.wordpress.com/2015/10/17/phase-1-biharelections-post-poll-update/

27. Overview of Phase 2

https://politicalbaaba.wordpress.com/2015/10/11/biharelections-all-set-for-phase-i-tomorrow/

28. Grand Master Sheet Phase 2

https://politicalbaaba.wordpress.com/2015/10/15/biharelections-grand-cheat-sheet-phase-2/

29. Post Poll Update Phase 2

https://politicalbaaba.wordpress.com/2015/10/16/phase2-biharelections-post-poll-update/

30. Phase 1: Its not what it seems to be 

http://swarajyamag.com/politics/bihar-phase-1-it-is-not-what-it-seems-to-be/

31. PB Projections Phase 1 & 2 Combined

https://politicalbaaba.wordpress.com/2015/10/27/politicalbaaba-projections-phase-1-2-combined/

32. Phase 3 Master Sheet

https://politicalbaaba.wordpress.com/2015/10/27/bihar-elections-master-sheet-phase-3/

33. Overview of Phase 3 

https://politicalbaaba.wordpress.com/2015/10/28/overview-of-phase3-of-biharelections-2/

34. Seat Wise Analysis & Dynamics of Phase 3

https://politicalbaaba.wordpress.com/2015/10/26/seat-wise-analysis-dynamics-of-phase-3-of-bihar-polls/

35. The Many Contradictions of Bihar Polls

https://politicalbaaba.wordpress.com/2015/10/25/the-many-contradictions-of-bihar-polls/

36. Will Manjhi be the Mountain Man for BJP in Bihar?

https://politicalbaaba.wordpress.com/2015/10/24/will-manjhi-be-the-mountain-man-for-bjp-in-bihar/

37. What may be working and what may not be working for Nitish in Bihar Elections?

https://politicalbaaba.wordpress.com/2015/10/23/what-may-be-and-may-not-be-working-for-nitish-in-bihar-elections/

38. The Bihar Cricket Match

https://politicalbaaba.wordpress.com/2015/10/21/the-bihar-cricket-match-2/

39. How Bihar elections is uncannily similar to Delhi elections?

https://politicalbaaba.wordpress.com/2015/10/19/how-biharelections-is-uncannily-similar-to-delhi-elections/

40. Phase 3: Post Poll Update

https://politicalbaaba.wordpress.com/2015/10/29/bihar-elections-phase-3-post-poll-update/

41. Phase 4 Overview

https://politicalbaaba.wordpress.com/2015/10/31/overview-of-phase-4-of-bihar-polls/

42. Master Sheet Phase 4

https://politicalbaaba.wordpress.com/2015/10/31/biharelections-grand-master-sheet-phase-4/

43. Phase 4 Post Poll Update

https://politicalbaaba.wordpress.com/2015/11/02/phase-4-of-bihar-elections-post-poll-update-nda-ahead/

44. Phase 5 Overview

https://politicalbaaba.wordpress.com/2015/11/04/overview-of-phase-5-of-bihar-polls/

45. Master Sheet Phase 5

https://politicalbaaba.wordpress.com/2015/11/04/bihar-elections-phase-5-master-sheet/

46. 11 Reasons why Phase V will change everything

http://www.dailyo.in/politics/bihar-elections-modi-nitish-kumar-jdu-rjd-mahagathbandhan/story/1/7162.html

46. Phase 5 Predictions & Who will win Bihar

https://politicalbaaba.wordpress.com/2015/11/05/phase-v-predictions-who-wins-bihar/

47. 10 Reasons Why NDA could have done better in Phase V

https://politicalbaaba.wordpress.com/2015/11/07/10-reasons-why-nda-could-have-done-better-in-phase-5-of-bihar-polls/

48. Leadership ratings: Is it the biggest clue to Bihar election results?

http://www.hindustantimes.com/columns/leadership-ratings-is-it-the-biggest-clue-to-bihar-election-results/story-F3EsWhE1Z0BVF0Cmw3nT3O.html

EXIT POLLS

49. From Chanakya to C-Voter what exit polls don’t tell you about Bihar

http://www.dailyo.in/politics/bihar-elections-exit-polls-chanakya-mahagathbandhan-nda-nitish-kumar/story/1/7199.html

50.Forget exit polls, Bihar will be a game of Others

http://www.dailyo.in/politics/bihar-elections-exit-polls-others-nda-mahagathbandhan/story/1/7219.html

51. How Bihar exit polls re-inforce my 5 statements

https://politicalbaaba.wordpress.com/2015/11/06/how-bihar-exit-polls-re-inforce-my-5-statements/

52. Bihar Exit Polls Summary

https://politicalbaaba.wordpress.com/2015/11/06/bihar-exit-polls-a-comedy-of-errors/

VERDICT ANALYSIS

53. Bihar reposes faith in Nitish Kumar

https://politicalbaaba.wordpress.com/2015/11/08/bihar-reposes-faith-in-nitish-kumar/

54. How the Captain and the Vice Captain Failed Team NDA?

https://politicalbaaba.wordpress.com/2015/11/24/biharverdict-how-the-captain-the-vice-captain-failed-team-nda/

55. How BJP & Allies missed the Chemistry?

http://swarajyamag.com/politics/bihar-how-bjp-and-allies-missed-the-chemistry/

56. Did the anti-reservation comment impact BJP performance in Bihar?

http://swarajyamag.com/politics/was-mohan-bhagwats-anti-reservation-comment-the-main-reason-for-bjps-debacle-in-bihar/

57. Why Lalu will not make Nitish Kumar the biggest loser of Bihar elections

http://www.dailyo.in/politics/bihar-polls-nitish-kumar-lalu-prasad-yadav-narendra-modi-jdu-rjd-congress-sonia-gandhi-rahul-gandhi/story/1/7398.html

58. How Manjhi failed to be the mountain man of BJP in Bihar

https://politicalbaaba.wordpress.com/2015/11/26/how-manjhi-failed-to-be-the-mountain-man-of-bjp-in-bihar-2/

59. Six reasons why BJP should have declared a CM candidate in Bihar

https://politicalbaaba.wordpress.com/2015/11/20/6-reasons-why-bjp-should-have-declared-a-cm-candidate-in-bihar/

60. Bihar Polls was a 3 cornered fight and the others scored high

http://www.dailyo.in/politics/bihar-results-rjd-jdu-mahagathbandhan-election-commission-nitish-kumar-lalu-yadav-narendra-modi-bjp-amit-shah-nda-others/story/1/7333.html

 

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71 thoughts on “BIHAR ELECTIONS

      1. Wel uptil now, the blog has been no more than a collectio of views on a range of topics about India (even politics). But I am now open to the idea of having guest posts or even syndicated/occasional bloggers on the site.

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    1. Thanks. But I have a query. When I see electronic and print media in the last few weeks, predominantly they are indicating that NDA is not doing well in Bihar. In fact, some media persons like Rajdeep Sardesai or Choubey of CNN-IBN go to the extend of predicting Mahagatbandhan sweep. They have been projecting a negative scenario for BJP/NDA since the beginning of October. On the basis of what data, are they doing this?

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  1. Hi, as per economic times article, satta bazaar is favoring Grand alliance whereas till a couple of days back they were favoring NDA. All looks rather confusing.

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    1. It is a close elections as I have mentioned in all posts and you must have noticed. It will boil down to each seat. Each seat has its own dynamics. NDA has an advantage and I feel and as I mentioned in the post in the afternoon NDA 127 MGB 111 & Others 5 will be final tally.

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  2. Sir….as you have predicted aaj tak cicero also predicting same….Its taking higher and lower number of your prediction…like its showing 111 to 124 to mahagatbandhan and 114 to 127 to NDA….it means your prediction may come right…..

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  3. Sir…if mahagatbandhan had not done well in the last phase then as your predictions it cant win election….Chances of NDA increases….what is your opinion????

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  4. Guys, Stop publishing non sense in the name of opinion / exit polls. Psephology is is its diapers in India and no amount of on-the-ground knowledge is sufficient to predict the outcome of complex elections like in India. Add to it, the Sickulars and Prestitutes that influence people’s mind in all possible ways. Let’s face it.

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